You can only predict things after they have happened.
Occurrences in this domain are beyond the reach of exact prediction because of the variety of factors in operation, not because of any lack of order in nature.
Science fiction writers foresee the inevitable, and although problems and catastrophes may be inevitable, solutions are not.
I’ve actually made a prediction that within 30 years a majority of new cars made in the United States will be electric. And I don’t mean hybrid, I mean fully electric.
If you can look into the seeds of time, and say which grain will grow and which will not, speak then unto me.
If I know you’re very good in music, I can predict with just about zero accuracy whether you’re going to be good or bad in other things.
Predicting has a spotty record in science fiction. I’ve had some failures. On the other hand, I also predicted the fall of the Berlin Wall and the rise of fundamentalist Islam… and I’m not happy to be right in all of those cases.
A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn’t happen.
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